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Answer:
The person in the at-risk population is much more likely to actually have the disease
Step-by-step explanation:
The probability of a randomly selected doctor having the disease is 1 in 1,000 (P(I)=0.0001).
The probability that a doctor is infected with SARS, given that they tested positive is:
The probability of a randomly selected person from the at-risk population having the disease is 20 in 100 (P(I)=0.20).
The probability that a person in the at-risk population is infected with SARS, given that they tested positive is:
Therefore, the person in the at-risk population is much more likely to actually have the disease