In the absence of neap tide transect data this hypothesis cannot be tested directly, but three pieces of indirect evidence weigh against it as a complete explanation.
2 hydrogen and 1 oxygen makes water
The third shell has 3 subshells: the subshell, which has 1 orbital with 2 electrons, the subshell, which has 3 orbitals with 6 electrons, and the subshell, which has 5 orbitals with 10 electrons, for a total of 9 orbitals and 18 electrons.
Schrodinger developed a famous equation that allows the solutions for electron wave functions to be found given a specific potential. For the case of an atom, Schroginger's equation allows the determination of electron wave functions. These wave functions tell us how electrons are distributed in space around the atom.