They would most likely use statistics on the increase/decrease in population from previous decades and centuries. In addition to these statistics, they could use the birth and death rate and ultimately predict the increase within these next 30 years. They must also take climate change and other environmental factors into consideration when formulating such a bold prediction.
The charge inserted will induce -Q charge on the inner surface and + Q on the outer surface of the shell . This charge is called bound charge because it remained attached with opposite charge inserted inside.