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pochemuha
2 years ago
12

La probabilidad de que un nuevo producto tenga éxito es de 0.85. Si se eligen 10 personas al azar y se les pregunta si compraría

n el nuevo producto, ¿cuál es la probabilidad de que por lo menos 8 adquieran el nuevo producto?
Engineering
1 answer:
liq [111]2 years ago
7 0

Answer:

La probabilidad pedida es 0.820196

Explanation:

Sabemos que la probabilidad de que un nuevo producto tenga éxito es de 0.85. Sabemos también que se eligen 10 personas al azar y se les pregunta si comprarían el nuevo producto. Para responder a la pregunta, primero definiremos la siguiente variable aleatoria :

X: '' Número de personas que adquirirán el nuevo producto de 10 personas a las que se les preguntó ''

Ahora bien, si suponemos que la probabilidad de que el nuevo producto tenga éxito se mantiene constante (p=0.85) y además suponemos que hay independencia entre cada una de las personas al azar a las que se les preguntó ⇒ Podemos modelar a X como una variable aleatoria Binomial. Esto se escribe :

X ~ Bi(n,p) en donde ''n'' es el número de personas entrevistadas y ''p'' es la probabilidad de éxito (una persona adquiriendo el producto) en cada caso.

Utilizando los datos ⇒ X ~ Bi(10,0.85)

La función de probabilidad de la variable aleatoria binomial es :

p_{X}(x)=P(X=x)=\left(\begin{array}{c}n&x\end{array}\right)p^{x}(1-p)^{n-x}    con x=0,1,2,...,n

Si reemplazamos los datos de la pregunta en la función de probabilidad obtenemos :

P(X=x)=\left(\begin{array}{c}10&x\end{array}\right)(0.85)^{x}(0.15)^{10-x} con x=0,1,2,...,10

Nos piden la probabilidad de que por lo menos 8 personas adquieran el nuevo producto, esto es :

P(X\geq 8)=P(X=8)+P(X=9)+P(X=10)

Calculando P(X=8), P(X=9) y P(X=10) por separado y sumando, obtenemos que P(X\geq 8)=0.820196

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Explanation:

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The failure of a space program is definitely a complex situation, more than a simple binomial distribution. It's definitely not as simple as repeating the flip of a coin. There are several coherent factors and situations that govern the overall coordination and execution of such an event. The problem is, those who are running a project like this are still making a trade off,It is never the case that they sealed the lid on any chance of failure between multiple parameters. You try to do something, but often, as is the case above, the potentially dangerous situation is impossible or uncontrollable. Since the root cause of failure, which is dried out tiles that can not withstand heat and water, it appears that owing to the constant use of the shuttle the head architects have not foreseen this.

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3 years ago
It is possible to have liquid water at 200°C. a)-True b)- False
Ivan

Answer:

true

Explanation:

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3 years ago
Write a program that asks the user for the name of a file. The program should display the number of words that the file contains
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Answer:

import java.io.*;

import java.util.Scanner;

public class CountWordsInFile {

   public static void main(String[] args) throws IOException {

       Scanner keyboard = new Scanner(System.in);

       System.out.print("Enter file name: ");

       String fileName = keyboard.next();

       File file = new File(fileName);

       try {

       

           Scanner scan = new Scanner(file);

           

           int count = 0;

           

           while(scan.hasNext()) {

               scan.next();

               count += 1;

           }

           scan.close();

           System.out.println("Number of words: "+count);        

       } catch (FileNotFoundException e) {

           System.out.println("File " + file.getName() + " not present ");

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3 0
3 years ago
The wall of drying oven is constructed by sandwiching insulation material of thermal conductivity k = 0.05 W/m°K between thin me
masha68 [24]

Answer:

86 mm

Explanation:

From the attached thermal circuit diagram, equation for i-nodes will be

\frac {T_ \infty, i-T_{i}}{ R^{"}_{cv, i}} + \frac {T_{o}-T_{i}}{ R^{"}_{cd}} + q_{rad} = 0 Equation 1

Similarly, the equation for outer node “o” will be

\frac {T_{ i}-T_{o}}{ R^{"}_{cd}} + \frac {T_{\infty, o} -T_{o}}{ R^{"}_{cv, o}} = 0 Equation 2

The conventive thermal resistance in i-node will be

R^{"}_{cv, i}= \frac {1}{h_{i}}= \frac {1}{30}= 0.033 m^{2}K/w Equation 3

The conventive hermal resistance per unit area is

R^{"}_{cv, o}= \frac {1}{h_{o}}= \frac {1}{10}= 0.100 m^{2}K/w Equation 4

The conductive thermal resistance per unit area is

R^{"}_{cd}= \frac {L}{K}= \frac {L}{0.05} m^{2}K/w Equation 5

Since q_{rad}  is given as 100, T_{o}  is 40 T_ \infty  is 300 T_{\infty, o}  is 25  

Substituting the values in equations 3,4 and 5 into equations 1 and 2 we obtain

\frac {300-T_{i}}{0.033} +\frac {40-T_{i}}{L/0.05} +100=0  Equation 6

\frac {T_{ i}-40}{L/0.05}+ \frac {25-40}{0.100}=0

T_{i}-40= \frac {L}{0.05}*150

T_{i}-40=3000L

T_{i}=3000L+40 Equation 7

From equation 6 we can substitute wherever there’s T_{i} with 3000L+40 as seen in equation 7 hence we obtain

\frac {300- (3000L+40)}{0.033} + \frac {40- (3000L+40)}{L/0.05}+100=0

The above can be simplified to be

\frac {260-3000L}{0.033}+ \frac {(-3000L)}{L/0.05}+100=0

\frac {260-3000L}{0.033}=50

-3000L=1.665-260

L= \frac {-258.33}{-3000}=0.086*10^{-3}m= 86mm

Therefore, insulation thickness is 86mm

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