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trapecia [35]
3 years ago
7

A consulting firm submitted a bid for a large research project. The firm's management initially felt there was a 50/50 chance of

getting the bid. However, the agency to which the bid was submitted subsequently requested additional information on the bid. Experience indicates that on 75% of the successful bids and 40% of the unsuccessful bids the agency requested additional information. If required, round your answers to two decimal places.1. What is the prior probability of the bid being successful (that is, prior to the request for additional information)?2. What is the conditional probability of a request for additional information given that the bid will ultimately be successful?3. Compute the posterior probability that the bid will be successful given a request for additional information (to 2 decimals).
Engineering
1 answer:
klemol [59]3 years ago
6 0

Answer:

1. 0.50

2. 0.75

3. 0.65

Explanation:

1. For the bid being successful with a 50-50 chance, we have the probability:

50/(50 + 50) = 50 / 100 = 0.50

2. Given the request for additional info:

Probability = probability of request and successful / probability of successful

= 75 / 100 = 0.75

3. We will evaluate the probability of being successful given its request

We will use the Bayesian theorem

= [P(request | successful) * P(successful)] / [P(request | successful) * P(successful) + P(request | unsuccessful) * P(unsuccessful)]

= ( 0.75 * 0.5) / (0.75 * 0.5 + 0.4 * 0.5)

= 0.65

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stiv31 [10]

Answer:

<em><u>1</u></em>

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2 years ago
QUESTÃO 13. Explique o uso das aspas no trecho "Darei a cada uma de vocês
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Answer: speaks Portuguese

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6 0
3 years ago
C++ - Green Crud Fibonacci programThe following program is to be written with a loop. You are to write this program three times
Fynjy0 [20]

Answer:

Below is the required code:

Explanation:

Using for loop

#include <iostream>

using namespace std;

int main()

{

    //Initial crud size

    int init = 0;

    int newCrud;

    int next=0;

    //Number of days to simulate

    int no_days;

    int day;

    cout << "Enter initial amount of green crud: ";

    cin >> newCrud;

    cout << "Enter number of days to simulate: ";

    cin >> no_days;

    for (day = 10; day<=no_days; day++)

    {

         if (day % 10 == 0)

         {

             next = newCrud + init;

         }

             newCrud = init;

             init = next;

    }

    if (no_days < 5)

    cout << "\nCrud reproduce only after 5 days minimum.Hence the current amount is "

    << newCrud << " pounds.";

    else

    cout << "On day " << no_days << " you have " << init

    << " pounds of green crud." << endl;

    cout << "\nWould you like to continue? (y or n): ";

    cin >> ans;

         return 0;

}

Output:

         Enter initial amount of green crud: 5

         Enter number of days to simulate: 220

    On day 220 you have 10485760 pounds of green crud.

Using while loop

Program:

#include <iostream>

using namespace std;

int main()

{

    char ans='y';

    while (ans == 'Y' || ans == 'y')

    {

         //Initial crud size

         int init = 0;

         int newCrud;

         int next=0;

         //Number of days to simulate

         int no_days;

         int day;

         cout << "Enter initial amount of green crud:

         ";

         cin >> newCrud;

         cout << "Enter number of days to simulate:

         ";

         cin >> no_days;

         for (day = 10; day<=no_days; day++)

         {

             if (day % 10 == 0)

             {

                  next = newCrud + init;

             }

                  newCrud = init;

                  init = next;

         }

         if (no_days < 5)

         cout << "\nCrud reproduce only after 5 days

         minimum.Hence the current amount is "

         << newCrud << " pounds.";

         else

         cout << "On day " << no_days << " you have "

         << init

         << " pounds of green crud." << endl;

         cout << "\nWould you like to continue? (y or

         n): ";

         cin >> ans;

    }

    return 0;

}

Output:

Enter initial amount of green crud: 5

Enter number of days to simulate: 220

On day 220 you have 10485760 pounds of green crud.

Would you like to continue? (y or n): y

Enter initial amount of green crud: 5

Enter number of days to simulate: 225

On day 225 you have 10485760 pounds of green crud.

Using do while loop

Program:

#include <iostream>

using namespace std;

int main()

{

    char ans;

    do

    {

         //Initial crud size

         int init = 0;

         int newCrud;

         int next=0;

         //Number of days to simulate

         int no_days;

         int day;

         cout << "Enter initial amount of green crud: ";

         cin >> newCrud;

         cout << "Enter number of days to simulate: ";

         cin >> no_days;

         for (day = 10; day<=no_days; day++)

         {

             if (day % 10 == 0)

             {

                  next = newCrud + init;

             }

                  newCrud = init;

                  init = next;

         }

         if (no_days < 5)

         cout << "\nCrud reproduce only after 5 days

         minimum.Hence the current amount is "

         << newCrud << " pounds.";

         else

         

         cout << "On day " << no_days << " you have " <<

         init << " pounds of green crud." << endl;

         cout << "\nWould you like to continue? (y or n):

         ";

         cin >> ans;

    } while (ans == 'Y' || ans == 'y');

    return 0;

}

Output:

Enter initial amount of green crud: 5

Enter number of days to simulate: 220

On day 220 you have 10485760 pounds of green crud.

Would you like to continue? (y or n): y

Enter initial amount of green crud: 5

Enter number of days to simulate: 225

On day 225 you have 10485760 pounds of green crud.

7 0
3 years ago
Mahamad Siddiqui sent false emails and letters of recommendation on behalf of individuals without their permission to nominate h
shusha [124]

Mahamad Siddiqui sent false emails and letters of recommendation on behalf of individuals without their permission to nominate himself for the Waterman Award at the National Science Foundation. His earlier emails were offered where he had solicited letters were offered as evidence. Siddiqui claimed that content of earlier emails was hearsay. Do the earlier emails come in is given below

Explanation:

1.Mohamed Siddiqui appeals his convictions for fraud and false statements to a federal agency, and obstruction in connection with a federal investigation.   Siddiqui challenges the district court's admission into evidence of e-mail and foreign depositions.

2.On February 18, 1997, Jodi Saltzman, a special agent with the NSF interviewed Siddiqui at Siddiqui's office at the University of South Alabama.   During the interview, Siddiqui signed a statement admitting that he had nominated himself for the Waterman Award, but that he had permission from Yamada and von Gunten to submit forms on their behalf.   Siddiqui also acknowledged in the statement that Westrick had recommended Siddiqui for a different award, the PECASE Award, but that Siddiqui had changed the wording of the letter to apply to the Waterman Award.   Siddiqui was indicted on April 29, 1997.

3.Siddiqui opposed the taking of the depositions on the grounds that the witnesses' personal presence at trial was necessary, and that Indian travel restrictions for its citizens residing abroad prevented him from traveling to Japan and Switzerland.   Specifically, Siddiqui asserted that because of religious persecution in India his travel to Japan or Switzerland related to the criminal action would put his family members still living in India at risk.   The magistrate judge ruled that the government had carried its burden of showing that Yamada and von Gunten would be unavailable to appear at trial, and instructed that Siddiqui's fear of obtaining a travel visa from India because of the threat of persecution of family members should not preclude the taking of the foreign depositions.

4.Yamada's deposition was taken in Japan on March 6, 1998.   At government expense, Siddiqui's counsel attended the deposition and cross-examined the witness, but was not in telephonic contact with Siddiqui during the deposition.   Yamada testified that on February 1, 1997, she received an e-mail stating that if she received a phone call from the NSF to “please tell good words about me.”   Yamada testified that she knew the e-mail was from Siddiqui because the name on the e-mail had Siddiqui's sender address, and it ended with the name “Mo” which Siddiqui had previously told her was his nickname, and which he had used in previous e-mail.

5.Yamada later admitted to Saltzman that she had not given Siddiqui permission to sign, but had made the earlier representation because she thought Siddiqui would go to jail.

6.During cross-examination of Yamada at the deposition, Siddiqui's counsel introduced an e-mail from Yamada to Siddiqui.   This e-mail contained the same e-mail address for Siddiqui as the e-mail received by Yamada and von Gunten apparently from Siddiqui.

7.Von Gunten's video deposition was taken in Switzerland.   At government expense, Siddiqui's counsel attended the deposition and cross-examined von Gunten.   During the deposition, Siddiqui was in communication with his counsel by telephone.   Von Gunten testified at the deposition that he had not submitted a letter of recommendation in favor of Siddiqui for the Waterman Award, and that he had not given Siddiqui permission to submit such a letter in his name.

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